Projected Week 6 NFL DFS ownership percentage, advice for DraftKings, FanDuel contests



Week 6 features a more evenly balanced NFL DFS slate of early-afternoon and late-afternoon games after last week’s front-loaded quagmire. Unfortunately, there will be no Christian McCaffrey on this main Sunday slate, as the Panthers kick off at 9:30 a.m. ET in London, but there are still plenty of solid daily fantasy football lineup picks. As always, some look to be a little too popular, at least for GPPs, while others are being overlooked. RotoGrinders is here to help you figure out who to stack and who to fade with some key projected ownership percentages for Week 6 DraftKings and FanDuel contests.

Differentiation is key when trying to win DFS tournaments, and by looking at ownership projections on RotoGrinders, you can feel better about your lineups heading into the Week 6 slate of games.

WEEK 6 DFS LINEUPS:
Y! cash | Y! GPP | FD cash | FD GPPDK cash | DK GPP

Week 6 Projected NFL DFS Ownership: Quarterback

LOW: Russell Wilson, Seahawks @ Browns (3.1% pOWN on FanDuel, 1.9% on DraftKings). I don’t expect this game to garner much traction in terms of game stacks in tournaments, but it’s one of my favorite contrarian spots. Wilson has been somewhat up and down to start the year, although he’s posted two strong GPP performances in his last three games and he’s getting next to no love from the public heading into Sunday. Cleveland does have a strong pass rush and that’s concerning with the Seahawks’ struggles with pass blocking, but I do think this could be a bounce-back spot for Cleveland’s offense which could force Wilson to keep pace. I’m not looking here in cash game formats, but there is plenty of large-field GPP appeal.

HIGH: Jared Goff, Rams vs. 49ers (7.3% pOWN on FanDuel, 6.4% on DraftKings). Goff has been a favorite of mine when he’s not getting much public love at home, but the 49ers pass rush is a legitimate concern and I’d much prefer Patrick Mahomes, Deshaun Watson, or Lamar Jackson to Goff this week. The Rams signal-caller is expected to be the fifth-most popular QB on both major sites, and I’d say that’s dead on. The Niners aren’t having any issues getting to the QB, and while Todd Gurley’s absence could force the Rams to rely a little more heavily on the aerial attack, I would imagine that not much changes with Malcolm Brown heading up the backfield. I’ll have some pieces of this passing attack – Cooper Kupp is in another strong spot – but I’ll be underweight on the Rams in general.

Other notable QBs at low ownership with a chance to boom: Baker Mayfield (vs. SEA), Carson Wentz (@ MIN)

Notable QBs that I think are being overvalued: Dak Prescott (@ NYJ)

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WEEK 6 NON-PPR RANKINGS:
Quarterback | Running back | Wide receiver | Tight end | D/ST | Kicker

Week 6 Projected NFL DFS Ownership: Running Back

LOW: Damien Williams, Chiefs vs. Texans (4.2% pOWN on FanDuel, 4.6% on DraftKings). While Williams didn’t post an eye-popping stat line on Sunday night, his return gave us insight into how this backfield should work going forward. Williams handled nine carries while LeSean McCoy didn’t see a single one. Anthony Sherman handled one carry, as did Mecole Hardman. That certainly gives reason for some optimism heading into the weekend’s highest totaled game. Some might see that Williams played less than 30 percent of the snaps and be wary of investing on Sunday, but the Chiefs offense wasn’t really able to get much going and was forced to throw more than it would probably like. At his current price, Williams will likely be the RB that I’m heaviest on in Week 6.

HIGH: Dalvin Cook, Vikings vs. Eagles (15.9% pOWN on FanDuel, 11.7% on DraftKings). He’s been a top-three or four RB heading into Sunday in basically every game to this point in the year, but this week should pose a tough test against Philly’s front. The Eagles are still dealing with some injuries on the interior of their line, but they remain a much easier defense to exploit through the air. While Kirk Cousins finally looked competent in Week 5, this is yet another spot where he can force feed Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs to keep them happy after both were clearly frustrated with play calling in the first quarter of the season.

Other notable RBs at low ownership with a chance to boom: Joe Mixon (@ BAL), Derrick Henry (@ DEN), Jordan Howard (@ MIN), Adrian Peterson (@ MIA)

Other notable RBs that I think are being overvalued: Le’Veon Bell (vs. DAL)

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WEEK 6 PPR RANKINGS: Running back | Wide receiverTight end

Week 6 Projected NFL DFS Ownership: Wide Receiver

LOW: Amari Cooper, Cowboys @ Jets (8.9% pOWN on FanDuel, 5.6% on DraftKings). Dallas’ ineptitude on offense led to a high-volume game for Cooper against Green Bay, and while the Cowboys should have a much easier time avoiding costly turnovers against the Jets, this is still a strong spot for the passing game and Cooper in particular. The Cowboys currently have an implied team total of 26 points at most PA online casinos, and the Jets’ outside CBs are far worse than the competition Cooper has faced recently, especially considering he torched highly-regarded CB Jaire Alexander, albeit with the Cowboys trailing by multiple scores for a large portion of the game. I’m not sure that I’ll have many Dak-Cooper stacks – GPPs are being won by game stacks and I don’t really see the Jets doing enough offensively for either unit to explode, but I’ll have plenty of Cooper shares.

HIGH: Marquise Brown, Ravens vs. Bengals (25.8% pOWN on FanDuel). Brown is still laughably cheap on FanDuel, where he’s expected to be the most heavily owned WR on the main slate. I tend to be cautious about rostering boom-or-bust receivers when they are expected to be overly chalky, and a bum ankle on a guy who relies on speed is enough to get me off the train. To be fair, there doesn’t seem to be any concern that Brown will suit up, but the re-injury risk is there. I certainly understand the thought process behind buying into Brown – he’s way too cheap for someone receiving the type of target and air yards share that he’s getting – but the ownership and balky ankle is scaring me away on FanDuel.

Other notable WRs at a low ownership with a chance to boom: Courtland Sutton (vs. TEN), Alshon Jeffery (@ MIN), Tyler Lockett (@ CLE), DK Metcalf (@ CLE), Demarcus Robinson (vs. HOU)

Other notable WRs that I think are being overvalued: DJ Chark (vs. NO), Odell Beckham (vs. SEA), Calvin Ridley (@ ARI)

MORE WEEK 6 DFS: Values | Stacks | Lineup Builder

Week 6 Projected NFL DFS Ownership: Tight end

LOW: Mark Andrews, Ravens vs. Bengals (8.5% pOWN on FanDuel, 15% on DraftKings). There isn’t a whole lot to like on the cheap side of the TE pool, outside of potentially Jeremy Sprinkle, who will be filling in for Vernon Davis against a putrid Dolphins defense. Andrews’ ankle issue has been notable for a few weeks now, but he was right back to his typical workload last week and the ankle doesn’t appear to be getting any worse, so I’m firing away here. The Bengals are one of the best matchups on the board for passing games, and they’ve been particularly friendly to the TE spot this season. Andrews and Marquise Brown are both holding big leads in terms of target share in the Ravens offense, and if Brown’s speed is at all hampered by his injury, Andrews could take on an even bigger workload.

Other notable TEs at a low ownership with a chance to boom: Jeremy Sprinkle (@ MIA)

Notable TEs that I think are being overvalued: Will Dissly (@ CLE)





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